RETROSPECTIVE: My Mid-Major Picks/Results, NCAA First Round

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I went 7-3 in play-in and first-round games. Three of those teams are in the Sweet 16 and at least one will be in the Elite Eight.   


Mid-majors flexed their muscles last week, showing the basketball world that parity is the name of the game in major college basketball today.

Last Tuesday I picked 11 mid-majors to shine–two played each other–and seven of those ten teams delivered wins. Here’s a review of last week’s action.

WIN: #4 GONZAGA v. #13 UNCG, Th. I wrote: “Even though the Zags are the prohibitive favorite, I think UNCG will keep the game close until the end.” That’s exactly what happened. MY PICK–GU

URI’s Dan Hurley is making a name for himself. (photo, isportsweb)

WIN: #7 RHODE ISLAND v. #10 OKLAHOMA, Th. I was never sold on OU and was disappointed when the Committee picked the Sooners over the OSU Cowboys. Conversely, I’ve been high on URI all year long. MY PICK–URI

WIN: #7 NEVADA v. #11 TEXAS, Fri. Reno rebounded from its MWC nightmare against San Diego State and beat Texas down the stretch. MY PICK–UNR

WIN: #11 LOYOLA v. #6 MIAMI, Th. I’ve liked LU ever since I saw them play last year. It’s a team on the rise. MY PICK–LU

WIN: #11 ST. BONAVENTURE v. #11 UCLA, Tu, Play-In game. Bona is another of my season-long favorites. They played good defense against a UCLA team that looked like it didn’t want to be there. MY PICK–SBU

LOSS: #12 NEW MEXICO STATE v. #5 CLEMSON, Fri.  I thought NMSU would have enough to beat Clemson, even though State plays in the competitively awful WAC. But State looked (and was) overmatched right from the start. MY PICK–NMSU

LOSS: #12 SOUTH DAKOTA STATE v. #5 OHIO STATE, Th. This was my biggest surprise. I thought the Jacks would ambush the Buckeyes, and I still held that thought when the game was tied 70-70 down the stretch. Then OSU took control. Next year, Jacks.  MY PICK–SDSU

Javon Carter had 21 points and WVU throttled Murray State (photo, The Herald-Dispatch)

WIN: #12 MURRAY STATE v. #5 WEST VIRGINIA, Fri. I predicted that the Mountaineers would be too much for the Racers. They were. MY PICK–WVU

LOSS: #13 BUFFALO v. #3 ARIZONA, Th. I wrote, “This is a bad draw for a good UB team.” Well, it was that…on paper…but the Wildcats looked listless, confused, and out of sorts against an energized and committed Bulls. Buffalo sprung a huge NCAA upset, winning in a run-a-way. MY PICK–UA

WIN: #14 MONTANA v. #3 MICHIGAN, Th. Only one UM team was going to win and it wasn’t the school from Missoula. MY PICK-MICHIGAN

Perhaps to the surprise of some fans, two of those seven teams are still playing–Nevada and Loyola. A third, Gonzaga, hums along as usual. And, now, the 27-7 Wolf Pack takes on 28-5 Loyola in the Sweet 16. That means one of my mid-majors picks will make it to the Elite 8. Meanwhile, Gonzaga is the odds-on favorite (-5.5) to beat Florida State and get there, too.

If there’s a lesson from this year’s tournament, it’s this: There’s simply too much talent nationally for big-time schools to dominate unequivocally. Hurray, petite équipe!

About Frank Fear

Frank is TSC’s Managing Editor, coordinating the daily flow of submissions from across the country and around the world. That role includes editing, formatting, and posting articles. He is the author of two books about West Virginia University athletics: “Band of Brothers Then and Now: The Inspiring Story of the 1966-70 WVU Football Mountaineers” (2023), and the forthcoming “True Prue: Darryl Prue Unwavering” (2026). Frank is also the executive producer and co-host of a weekly podcast on Mountaineer sports, “Mountaineer Locker Room. Then & Now,” simulcast on The Voice of College Football Network and The New River Network. Before focusing on sports writing and media work, Frank had a 35-year career as a professor and administrator at Michigan State University.



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